publications
Anton Staffans (2024), Britannia tähyää jälleen ”Suezista itään”. Maanpuolustus-lehti
Britannia tähyää yhä aktiivisemmin itään, mutta sen turvallisuuspoliittista toimintaa sävyttää tasapainoilu erilaisten intressien ja roolien välillä. Maa on osoittanut kykenevänsä tarvittaessa projisoimaan sotilaallista voimaa kauaskin, mikä tekee siitä potentiaalisen kumppanin mahdollisessa alueellisessa selkkauksessa. On kiinnostavaa seurata, jääkö Britannian suuntautuminen alueelle vain konservatiivihallituksen projektiksi vai edustaako se pysyvämpää muutosta brittien strategisessa ajattelussa.
Niklas Helwig (2023), Culture shock: The EU’s foreign and security policy and the challenges of the European Zeitenwende. Zeitschrift für Politikwissenschaft
The EU is in a state of culture shock. The Russian invasion of Ukraine and the European Zeitenwende placed the EU in a largely unfamiliar international environment for which its past modes of operation and behavioural patterns are unsuited. The EU was able to geopolitically repurpose its existing processes and instruments to cope rather effectively with the challenges of the war and its global fallout. However, the EU is also faced with more fundamental questions related to how it will navigate a much more competitive international environment. For effective and sustainable answers, it will need to develop a joint strategic culture.
Katariina Mustasilta (2023), The EU’s external conflict responses: Drivers and emerging trends in the era of strategic competition. FIIA Working Paper 135.
The EU’s conflict and crisis responses face an ever more challenging environment, characterized by two interconnected aspects: increasingly complex conflict and security situations, as well as intensifying rivalry among major powers in a shifting international order. The Working Paper discusses the key external and internal drivers that influence the EU’s conflict and crisis responses in the era of strategic competition and identifies three emerging trends that follow on from this: there is an increasing emphasis on geopolitical rationales in decision-making regarding where and what actions to take; responses take the form of security-oriented and narrowly defined operations that are largely non-executive and supportive in nature; and there is a growing demand for ad hoc frameworks and flexibility in conflict responses.